4
Vaccinator
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 14th | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |