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6

Annie Express

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 77 par1/10C5OR 77C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m70y 122C7 @ Turfway Park 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 61 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 61 par1/01C7OR 61C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 70 par9/06C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 78 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 81 par29/07C6OR 81C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 124C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 85 par16/09C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th5th+1
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2
2026-05-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1014/0529/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
25/10/20257th25/10%14%+0.14
01/01/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
14/05/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
09/06/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
04/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
29/07/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
26/08/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
16/09/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08