10

I Made It

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 74

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 77 par28/10C6OR 77C8 @ Turfway Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Turfway Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 77 · 1m 121 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 77 par23/01C8OR 77C8 @ Turfway Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 86 par7/05C5OR 86C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m Gd 119 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 80 par15/06C7OR 80C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y Gd 119 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 80 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th4th+2
2026-02-20Turfway Park?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1020/0215/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
09/01/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
23/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
20/02/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
07/05/20266th9/488%17%-0.71
28/05/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
15/06/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
28/07/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
11/09/20267th20/10%0%0.00