IvyArcIvyArc
9

Ranch Life

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Keeneland 09/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark09/04/2025 · OR 69 par9/04C9OR 69C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark08/05/2025 · OR 65 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 7f110y 120 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 63 par21/05C9OR 63C8 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 7f Slo 120 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 73 par26/06C8OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y 119 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 70 parC8 @ Turfway Park 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 65 par25/03C8OR 65C8 @ Ellis Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m 123 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 72 par16/09C7OR 72projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-24Ellis Park?5th6th−1
2026-03-25Turfway Park?5th6th−1
2025-11-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th−1
2025-06-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th−1
2025-06-13Churchill Downs?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0413/0625/0316/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
08/05/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
21/05/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
13/06/20257th20/10%0%0.00
26/06/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
04/11/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
25/03/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
24/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
16/09/20264th66/10%57%+0.57