Shesmyhuckleberry

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▬

Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	2nd	0th	+2	9.8
2026-08-20	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8
2026-08-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-07-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-06-16	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-05-07	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength96%

Delivery trend +9.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/09/2025	4th	4/5	96%	25%	-0.71
30/09/2025	11th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
10/11/2025	6th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
07/05/2026	5th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
16/06/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	83%	+0.25
15/07/2026	7th	10/3	82%	0%	-0.82
11/08/2026	1st	6/5	94%	100%	+0.06
20/08/2026	6th	4/1	79%	29%	-0.50
15/09/2026	2nd	20/1	0%	83%	+0.83