Vortex Express
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |