IvyArcIvyArc
4

Delta Tau Chi

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 09/06/2023 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y Slo 124 · below its mark09/06/2023 · OR 88 par9/06C6OR 88C9 @ Churchill Downs 16/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 87 parC9 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 80 par13/06C9OR 80C9 @ Turfway Park 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Turfway Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 79 · 6f 124 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 79 par14/02C8OR 79C8 @ Turfway Park 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 95 par8/04C8OR 95C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f 122 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 93 par8/09C5OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st3rd−2
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st4th−3
2026-03-15Turfway Park?2nd5th−3
2026-02-14Turfway Park?1st4th−3
2026-01-08Turfway Park?1st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/068/018/048/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20232nd2/189%83%-0.06
16/05/202510th3/184%10%-0.74
13/06/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
08/01/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
14/02/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
15/03/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
08/04/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
02/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
08/09/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01