2

Mister T

3yo Colt · 8-3 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f Fm 1175/09C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 50 · 1m Gd 117 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 50 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 62 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 62 par25/10C5OR 62BHA68 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 68 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 68 parC1 @ Keeneland 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 78 par11/04C1OR 78C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 122C1 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 84 par11/07C1OR 84C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m70y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th0th+4
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-11Keeneland?7th2nd+4
2025-11-13Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA681st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0913/1111/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
23/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
25/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
13/11/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
11/04/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
10/06/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63
11/07/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
22/08/20265th9/276%64%-0.13
11/09/20267th3/184%40%-0.44