IvyArcIvyArc
9

Pistole

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 95

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f Fas 11929/05C6C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 120 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 80 par19/08C5OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 6f 118 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 92 par8/09C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-05-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0519/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -18.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
19/08/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
08/09/20264th10/382%50%-0.32