6
Storm The Streets
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |