5
Unbridled Slope
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 04/07/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/09/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |