3

Versed

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m 119 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 71 par23/11C9OR 71C9 @ Turfway Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 70 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark21/12/2025 · OR 70 parC8 @ Turfway Park 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 74 · 6f 120 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 74 par21/01C8OR 74C8 @ Turfway Park 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 78 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Keeneland 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 83 · 7f 120 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 83 par8/04C7OR 83C8 @ Churchill Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 87 · 7f 118 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 118 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 82 par31/05C7OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m 120 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f 120 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 81 par19/08C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-31Churchill Downs?4th6th−2
2026-04-26Churchill Downs?3rd6th−3
2026-04-08Keeneland?5th7th−2
2026-03-14Turfway Park?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1114/0331/0519/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
21/12/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
21/01/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
14/03/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
08/04/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
26/04/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
31/05/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
15/06/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
19/08/20264th20/10%40%+0.40