3

Versed
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |