9
First Ladybug
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 54
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -29.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 22/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |