6
Seismic Girl
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +54.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |