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10

Bozaano

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 57 · 1m70y Slo 124 · beat its mark05/06/2025 · OR 57 par5/06C9OR 57C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 61 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 61 · 6f 124 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 61 par1/10C9OR 61C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 59 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 59 parC9 @ Mahoning Valley 08/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 6f 126 · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 59 par8/12C9OR 59C9 @ Mahoning Valley 15/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark15/01/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 64 · 6f 124 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 64 par3/04C8OR 64C8 @ Thistledown 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Thistledown 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 81 par8/09C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Thistledown?3rd6th−3
2026-05-16Thistledown?1st4th−3
2026-04-03Mahoning Valley?1st4th−3
2026-01-15Mahoning Valley?1st5th−4
2025-12-08Mahoning Valley?3rd7th−4
2025-10-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0629/103/048/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20252nd6/594%86%-0.08
08/09/20254th3/184%40%-0.44
01/10/20254th9/276%57%-0.19
29/10/20252nd6/492%88%-0.05
08/12/20253rd5/696%71%-0.24
15/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
03/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
16/05/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
08/09/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00