12
Daddys Dream
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-09-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2023 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 18/06/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 05/07/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 14/08/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 05/09/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 01/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |