3
Einstein's Ghost
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |