8
Forever Hope
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |