IvyArcIvyArc
2

Indy Lake

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/04/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12223/04C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 12423/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 124 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 83 par14/07C6OR 83C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 87 par19/08C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2025-04-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?12th13th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0423/0614/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/202512th25/10%0%0.00
23/06/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
14/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
19/08/20264th5/174%63%-0.11