4
Rank Randy
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |