1

Socorro's Prayer
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 86% | -0.12 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |