8
Dewey Oxburger
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 56
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |