Mystery Impact
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |