IvyArcIvyArc
2

Parker

8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 6f 118 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 87 par4/11C8OR 87C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 86 · 1m 118 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 1m 126 · below its mark05/01/2026 · OR 76 par5/01C8OR 76C8 @ Mahoning Valley 22/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 1m70y Slo 126 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 82 par20/05C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 80 par16/06C5OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m 122 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m70y 122 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 76 par1/09C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-01-22Mahoning Valley?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1122/0116/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/11/20255th15/261%20%-0.41
13/11/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
05/01/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
22/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
20/05/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
04/06/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
16/06/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
30/06/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
01/09/20264th14/126%57%+0.31