5
Rock City Kid
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 10% | -0.61 |
| 12/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 02/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |