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Tainted Justice

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 76

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

39%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m 117 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 61 par13/11C6OR 61C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 54 par2/05C6OR 54C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 58 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 62 par6/06C6OR 62C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fm 117 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 73 par27/07C6OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 75 par11/09C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th6th+1
2026-07-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1125/0527/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
08/04/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
02/05/20264th9/153%73%+0.20
25/05/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
06/06/20263rd2/189%80%-0.09
24/06/20263rd2/189%82%-0.08
27/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
22/08/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
11/09/20268th13/266%22%-0.44