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4

The King Stinger

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 46 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 46 par6/11C9OR 46C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 79 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 79 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 37 par15/04C9OR 37C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 30 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 30 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 42 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 42 par6/06C6OR 42C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 51 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 70 par9/07C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 72 par11/09C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/112/059/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20254th33/10%40%+0.40
13/11/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
15/04/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
02/05/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
06/06/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
16/06/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
09/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
11/08/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
11/09/202610th25/10%0%0.00