6
Turbeau Man
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 60
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/07/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |