4
Kissin N Memphis
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 70
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +24.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |