6

S C Sotol
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |