6

S C Sotol

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 53 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 53 par29/04C8OR 53C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 60 · 1f130y 126 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 60 par17/06C8OR 60C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 60 · 1f110y 126 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 60 par8/07C8OR 60C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 1f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 57 par18/08C8OR 57projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd7th−3
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th13th−3
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th12th−3
2026-04-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0417/068/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
17/06/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
08/07/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
18/08/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49