1

King Kenny

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newcastle · Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when fourth of 6 on debut at Haydock over this trip in August but went backwards when tenth of 11 in maiden at York over 7f 25 days ago. Back up in trip for all-weather debut and progress required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 1337/0832 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York210th9th+1
2026-08-07Haydock34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -30.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
06/09/202610th28/10%10%+0.10