Bill The Bull
2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 80
Newcastle · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Nursery · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 1 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 1 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 1 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/07/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 52% | +0.52 |
| 29/07/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |