Alkumatic Jo Jo
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 63
Newcastle · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap · 1m 5y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 62% | -0.15 |