Dacres Cross
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62
Newcastle · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap · 1m 5y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/08/2025 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 26/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |