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6

Dalamara

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 60

Newcastle · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap · 1m 5y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found a bit of progression in first-time cheekpieces when doubling career tally at Musselburgh (9f) in August and then ran to a similar level when third under a penalty in 1¼m handicap at this course 29 days ago. Claims returned to this shorter trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS4/1056 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 54 · 1m5y Std 129 · beat its mark02/12/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 58 · 7f219y Goo 133 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 58 par20/046OR 586 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 1m Gd 133 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 58 · 1m2f Goo 128 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 58 par4/066OR 586 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m4f14y Std 133 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 55 · 7f219y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 55 par8/086OR 556 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 54 · 1m208y Gd 124 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 54 · 1m2f42y Std 140 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 54 par2/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-08-25Musselburgh61st1st0
2026-08-08Redcar64th4th0
2026-06-18Southwell66th6th0
2026-06-04Wetherby64th4th0
2026-05-08Ripon62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/108/058/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20257th200/10%25%+0.25
02/12/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
20/04/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
08/05/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
04/06/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
18/06/20266th13/266%0%-0.66
08/08/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
25/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
02/09/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02