7

Suntino Lady

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 58

Newcastle · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap · 1m 5y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability in a trio of maidens at 7f/1m, though looked slightly stretched by this trip on latest. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0844 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS20/0844 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar46th4th+2
2026-08-20Newcastle45th3rd+2
2026-08-08Redcar44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0820/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -9.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20264th50/10%57%+0.57
20/08/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
09/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38