4
Angel Love
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 76
Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 78% | -0.19 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/05/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |