D Flawless
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 72
Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |