1

Lady Kodiac

3yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 87

Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

95%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found the return to tapeta and drop in grade much more to her liking to notch a third all-weather success in 7-runner handicap over C&D last month, leading over 1f out. Nudged up just 3 lb for that so every chance she's capable of following up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 12826/0845 @ Chelmsford City 11/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 1285 @ Chelmsford City 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 1352/1052 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 90 · 6f20y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 88 · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 88 par1/053OR 883 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 87 · 6f195y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 6f16y Std 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 85 par18/064OR 853 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 85 · 6f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 6f Std 138 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 84 par5/094OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle41st1st0
2026-07-17Newmarket35th4th+1
2026-06-18Southwell42nd2nd0
2026-05-30Carlisle36th5th+1
2026-05-01Newmarket32nd1st+1
2026-04-10Wolverhampton25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0810/0418/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
11/09/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
02/10/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
10/04/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
01/05/20262nd28/10%90%+0.90
30/05/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
18/06/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
17/07/20265th17/255%43%-0.12
05/09/20261st15/890%100%+0.10