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7

Mae Amor

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 74

Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Big-price winner at Hamilton on return in May. Made the frame 3 times since but performed well below her recent level there 11 days ago, possibly doing too much too soon in the conditions. Back on all-weather for the first time this year and needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 20/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 78 · 7f36y Std 133 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 78 par20/124OR 784 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 77 · 6f6y Gd 132 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 137 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 774 @ Musselburgh 06/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f15y Gd 134 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f182y Goo 140 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 78 par9/074OR 784 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 26 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 77 par5/084OR 775 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f6y Sft 140 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Hamilton 20/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f6y Hvy 135 · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 74 par20/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Hamilton47th7th0
2026-09-02Hamilton54th5th−1
2026-08-05Pontefract43rd3rd0
2026-07-29Goodwood44th4th0
2026-07-09Carlisle46th6th0
2026-06-06Musselburgh49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/126/065/0820/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/202512th40/10%0%0.00
17/05/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
23/05/202618th14/126%11%-0.16
06/06/20269th33/10%0%0.00
09/07/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
29/07/20264th50/10%88%+0.88
05/08/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
02/09/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
20/09/20267th9/276%14%-0.62