9
Siouxpersonic
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 72
Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ripon | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 11/09/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |