2

Society Kiss

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 80

Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked a useful prospect when scoring on debut at Ascot for Ralph Beckett last year but hasn't progressed this year and needs a lot more than she showed when down field the last twice. First-time cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 09/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0521 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 23 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0613 @ Southwell 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 4f214y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 87 par28/043OR 872 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 5f21y Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 83 par8/062OR 834 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 83 · 6f Sta 133 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 83 par26/084OR 832 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 23rd of 24 · OR 83 · 6f Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 83 par18/092OR 83projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr223th21th+2
2026-08-26Kempton410th10th0
2026-06-08Windsor22nd0th+2
2026-04-28Southwell33rd2nd+1
2025-06-18Royal Ascot112th8th+4
2025-05-09Ascot21st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0518/0628/048/0626/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
18/06/202512th7/163%50%-0.13
28/04/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
08/06/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
26/08/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
18/09/202623rd50/10%4%+0.04