3
Vanilla Skies
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 77
Newcastle · Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |