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7

Berlinetta

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 66

Newcastle · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made second start for this trainer a winning one in handicap at Windsor (1m) in July. Not discredited on first try over 7f when eighth of 14 at Newmarket 12 days ago, meeting trouble in running, and drops back in grade here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 03/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0743 @ York 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Chepstow 19/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f16y Goo 12819/0855 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 6f16y Std 134 · below its mark06/01/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 67 par26/015OR 675 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m GF 125 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 1m31y GF 129 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 65 par27/075OR 655 @ Doncaster 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 67 · 7f213y GF 132 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ Newmarket 19/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 67 · 7f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 67 par19/094OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newmarket48th7th+1
2026-08-15Doncaster54th4th0
2026-07-27Windsor51st1st0
2026-07-17Newbury55th5th0
2026-01-26Wolverhampton55th5th0
2026-01-06Southwell57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/076/0127/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +8.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20256th3/184%38%-0.47
26/07/20255th11/486%43%-0.43
19/08/20253rd15/890%67%-0.23
06/01/20267th9/276%0%-0.76
26/01/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
17/07/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
27/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
15/08/20264th9/488%50%-0.38
19/09/20268th16/116%46%+0.30