If I Could Dream
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 69
Newcastle · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 7f 14y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Doncaster | 2 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 11/09/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |