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9

Record Day

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 63

Newcastle · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 7f 14y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame in C&D novice on second start and best effort when close third in handicap at Thirsk (6f) in June. In first-time blinkers, fared better than of late when fifth of 11 back at Thirsk 17 days ago. Could be in the mix back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS29/0345 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1244 @ Newcastle 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS1/0544 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 128 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 68 par16/065OR 685 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 68 · 5f Sta 133 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f195y Goo 134 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 69 par9/075OR 695 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 67 · 6f Std 132 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 138 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 65 par14/096OR 65projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk65th6th−1
2026-09-05Newcastle511th11th0
2026-07-09Carlisle58th8th0
2026-06-25Newcastle57th7th0
2026-06-16Thirsk53rd3rd0
2026-05-23York49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0323/059/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
13/04/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
01/05/20268th18/15%22%+0.17
23/05/20269th66/10%58%+0.58
16/06/20263rd40/10%80%+0.80
25/06/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
09/07/20268th14/126%22%-0.04
05/09/202611th17/255%23%-0.32
14/09/20265th10/147%60%+0.13