8
Cotai Starlight
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 59
Newcastle · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Carlisle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Musselburgh | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |