Powernap
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 55
Newcastle · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 07/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |