Eve's Boy
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Newcastle · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 1m 5y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Ayr | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 11/5 | 88% | 17% | -0.72 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |