7

Whiskey Pete

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 50

Newcastle · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 1m 5y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort this season when runner-up at Doncaster (1¼m) in August. Didn't find as much as looked likely when seventh of 11 at this course (1¼m) 12 days ago and his losing run continues to mount up. Visor now added back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Thirsk 10/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 66 · 7f218y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 66 par10/045OR 665 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 63 · 7f219y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR 60 · 7f213y Goo 135 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 60 par14/066OR 606 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m Goo 128 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 58 · 7f213y GF 128 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 58 par23/076OR 586 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m2f43y GF 125 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 55 par5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m2f1y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 57 par22/085OR 576 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m5y Std 126 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Newcastle 19/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 54 · 1m2f42y Std 134 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 54 par19/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newcastle67th7th0
2026-09-05Newcastle66th6th0
2026-08-22Redcar58th7th+1
2026-08-01Doncaster62nd2nd0
2026-07-23Doncaster66th6th0
2026-07-13Ayr69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0413/0722/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength27%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/202613th28/10%0%0.00
18/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
14/06/202615th40/10%18%+0.18
13/07/20269th28/10%0%0.00
23/07/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
01/08/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17
22/08/20268th22/10%0%0.00
05/09/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
19/09/20267th17/255%40%-0.15